First Saturday in May is set usually aside for the Kentucky Derby. Not this year due to coronavirus -19. This year the year Derby will occur on September 5. This year the first Saturday in May features top-level three-year-old racing at Oaklawn Park in the Arkansas Derby (G1).
Race 11. Arkansas Derby Division 2 (G1). For three -year-old at 1 1/8 miles on the dirt. Purse $500,000.
|1||Finnick the Fierce||Martin Garcia||Rey Hernandez||15/1|
|3||Storm the Court||Flavien Prat||Peter Eurton||6/1|
|4||King Guillermo||Samy Camacho||Juan Carlos Avila||3/1|
|5||Nadal||Joel Rosario||Bob Baffert||5/2|
|6||Code Runner||Stewart Elliott||Steven Asmussen||50/1|
|7||Silver Prospector||Ricardo Santana, Jr.||Steven Asmussen||10/1|
|9||Taishan||David Cohen||Richard Baltas||15/1|
|10||Farmington Road||Javier Castellano||Todd Pletcher||12/1|
|11||Wells Bayou||Florent Geroux||Brad Cox||7/2|
Finnick the Fierce was awarded his second career victory in his last start via disqualification after getting bumped in the slop over this track in an optional claimer at 1-1/16 miles. His previous start was in the Risen Star at the Fairgrounds in Feb. and he ran seventh. He found trouble in that race as he hit the gate at the start and was bumped soon after the break. He is out classed in this field. He should not be a factor.
Storm the Court ran third in the San Felipe on March 27. His earlier effort in the San Vicente in Feb. he finished fourth out of six horses. He needs to find his last year ability to be competitive against this field. He has chance of bouncing back to his last year’s ability to finish in the top five.
King Guillermo won the Tampa Bay Derby. He broke his maiden two starts back on the turf. He has proven he can compete at this level, but can he repeat against this level of competitors. He has a chance of finishing on the board.
Nadal is perfect three-race career in his early career. He broke his maiden in Jan. and has won the San Vicente and the Rebel Stakes. He likes to wear down his foes in his victories. He faces two questions, can he race at the distance and can he carry his speed the distance? He should be in the top two.
Code Runner broke his maiden after eight tries in his last race. In his two previous races prior to his win he was not competitive. He is out classed in this field. He should not be a factor.
Silver Prospector finished sixth over the slop in the Rebel Stakes. He had bad racing luck in the Rebel. His previous race resulted in a one-length win in the Southwest Stakes. He’s won at 1-1/16 miles on two occasions but I’m not sure this stretch out is to his advantage. He has a chance of finishing in the top five.
Taishan ran third in the Oaklawn Stakes, at this 1-1/8 mile distance, on April 11. He captured an allowance optional claimer in his previous race in March. He is not ready to competitive against this field. He should not be a factor.
Farmington Road was able to pass tired horses in the slop to finish second in the
Oaklawn Stakes. His previous race he finished in a fourth-place finish in the Risen Star. He would need a major speed duel and leaders fall off the pace down the lane to have a chance of being on the board. He should be able to finish in the top 7.
Wells Bayou won the Louisiana Derby on March 21 at the Fairgrounds. In his previous race, he finished second in the Southwest Stakes. He has speed and will need to use it coming out of post position the eleven to settle in behind the leaders. He needs to find some racing luck but if all goes well he should finish in the top three.
J’s Top Three Picks:
- Wells Bayou
- Storm the Court