Entries and J’s Picks for Gulfstream Park Stake Races on Mar.28,2020

Gulfstream Park host to 10 stakes races , six of them graded including the Florida Derby (G1) and Gulfstream Park Oaks (G2).

The Derby and Oaks are 170-point qualifying races (100-40-20-10) for the Kentucky Derby (G1) on Sept. 5 and Kentucky Oaks (G1) on Sept. 4 at Churchill Downs.

The other stake races include the Sand Springs Stakes, Orchid Stakes Presented By Rood and Riddle (G3T), Gulfstream Park Oaks, Kitten’s Joy Pan American Stakes (G2T), Appleton Stakes (G3T) and Florida Derby.

Races:

Race 9. Sands Springs. For Fillies And Mares, Four Year Old and Up at one mile on the turf. Purse $100,000.

Entries:

PP Filly/Mare Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Picara  R Maragh J Delgado 30/1
2 Zofelle  J Rosario B P Walsh 9/2
3 Souper Escape  L Saez M J Trombetta 20/1
4 Smart Shot  L Panici G R Arnold, II 20/1
5 Newspaperofrecord  J Castellano C Brown 9/5
6 La Signare   T Gaffalione B P Walsh 8/1
7 Getmotherarose  M Franco T M Bush 6/1
8 East Moon  J R Leparoux G R Arnold, II 15/1
9 Angel of Mischief  F Geroux N W Casse 20/1
10 Jakarta  E J Zayas M J Maker 8/1
11 High Regard  J Bravo V H Oliver 20/1
12 Valedictorian  P Lopez K J Breen 8/1

Newspaperofrecord was dominant at 2, not much at 3 and is making her 4-year-old debut.   

Jakarta is the speed and is stretching out in distance. 

Valedictorian won this race last year.  She finished second  in the Honey Fox (G3T) in her 2020 debut to begin her season.

Zofelle  won her first three starts in the United States, then had a difficult trip behind a race last month. She needs a decent pace and should have find a favorable pace setup in the race.

Getmotherarose needs a fast pace to setup her late rallying kick. She won the recent  Honey Fox winner who is third off the bench. 

La Signare is cutting back in distance. She finished third in the recent The Very One Stakes (G3T).

J’s Top Three Picks:

  • Zofelle
  • Newspaperofrecord
  • Getmotherarose

Race10. Orchid Stakes. For Fillies And Mares, Four Years Old and Up at 1 3/8 miles on the turf. Purse $100,000.

Entries:

PP Filly/Mare Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Beale Street  John R. Velazquez Michael R. Matz 15/1
2 Kelsey’s Cross  Florent Geroux Patrick  Biancone 10/1
3 Irisa  Edgar S. Prado Ignacio Correas, IV 30/1
4 Quick Witted  Joe Bravo Ignacio Correas, IV 15/1
5 Gentle Ruler  Chris Landeros Ian R. Wilkes 7/2
6 Mean Mary  Luis Saez H. Graham Motion 3/1
7 Cap de Creus  Joel Rosario Todd A. Pletcher 10/1
8 Beau Belle  Dylan Davis Thomas Albertrani 8/1
9 Get Explicit  Edgard J. Zayas Barbara J. Minshall 12/1
10 La Australiana  Marcos Meneses Juan Carlos Avila 30/1
11 Over Thinking  Julien R. Leparoux Victoria H. Oliver 30/1
12 Elizabeth Way Paco Lopez Roger L. Attfield 9/2

Mean Mary is looking for her straight win in the Orchid. She will control the pace. She enters off a win in the La Prevoyante Stakes (G3T).  She will try to go gate-to-wire.

Elizabeth Way will try to keep up with pace from Post 12. She is 2-for-2 since coming over from Ireland. She took the The Very One (G3) here last month. She should be able to find a place on the board.

Gentle Ruler won four stakes at four tracks in 2019. She has the class to be in the mix at the wire. 

J’s Top Three Picks:

  • Mean Mary
  • Gentle Ruler
  • Elizabeth Way

Race 11. Gulfstream Park Oaks. For Three Fillies at 1 1/16 miles on the dirt. Purse $200,000.

The Gulfstream Park Oaks is worth $200,000 and provides qualifying points toward the Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs on a 100-40-20-10 basis to its top four finishers.

Entries:

PP Filly Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Inveterate  Manuel Franco Dermot Magner 20/1
2 Bajan Girl  Miguel Angel Vasquez Rohan Crichton 20/1
3 Spartanka Dylan Davis Michael J. Maker 20/1
4 Lake Avenue  Joel Rosario William I. Mott 9/2
5 Spice Is Nice  Javier Castellano Todd A. Pletcher 3/1
6 Swiss Skydiver  Paco Lopez Kenneth G. McPeek 10/1
7 Lucrezia  Julien R. Leparoux Arnaud Delacour 8/1
8 Dream Marie  Richard Mitchell Matthew J. Williams 15/1
9 Tonalist’s Shape  Tyler Gaffalione Saffie A. Joseph, Jr. 5/2
10 Mrs. S  John R. Velazquez Todd A. Pletcher 15/1
11 Addilyn  Edgard J. Zayas Antonio Sano 30/1
12 Sunset Promise  Florent Geroux Michael J. Maker 20/1
13 Four Grands  Luis Saez Dale L. Romans 10/1
14 Marialuisa  Santiago Gonzalez Juan Andres Rodriguez 30/1

Tonalist’s Shape won the first two races of the series at Gulfstream, the Feb. 1 Forward Gale Stakes (G3) and the Feb. 29 Davona Dale Stakes (G2), Tonalist’s Shape competed around one turn, as she did in three other starts. So the Gulfstream Park Oaks, a two-turn route at 1 1/16 miles, presents a new challenge. She has not yet raced beyond a mile.

Spice Is Nice  went off favored over Tonalist’s Shape in the Davona Dale, a race she finished. She flashed a 12-length maiden victory on Jan. 12 at Gulfstream. She was chasing the pace in the Davona Dale. She should improve off that race as she stretches out to two turns.

Swiss Skydiver  is taking a drop in class after finishing third in the Rachel Alexandra Stakes (G2). She should like the distance and will be following the pace setters around the first turn.

Lucrezia recorded wins in both the Sandpiper Stakes and Suncoast Stakes. She has posted solid works coming in to the race. 

J’s Top Three Picks:

Race 12. Pan American. For Four Year Old and Up at 1 1 /2 miles on the turf. Purse $200,000.

Entries:

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Channel Cat  Joel Rosario Todd  Pletcher 9/2
2 Bemma’s Boy  Florent Geroux Michael Maker 10/1
3 Spooky Channel  Julien  Leparoux Brian Lynch 20/1
4 Current  Javier Castellano Todd Pletcher 30/1
5 Go Poke the Bear  Paco Lopez Michael Maker 20/1
6 Galleon Mast  Joe Bravo David Fawkes 15/1
7 Prince of Arabia  Luca Panici Patrick Biancone 30/1
8 Manicomio  Miguel Vasquez Agustin Bezara 30/1
9 Zulu Alpha  Tyler Gaffalione Michael Maker 3/5
10 Focus Group  Luis Saez Christophe Clement 8/1

Zulu Alpha with four graded stakes winners from his last four local appearances and coming off tremendous efforts in winning Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1T) and a second place finish the Mac Diarmida Stakes (G2T).  He likes to come from off the pace and make a big move turning for home. Zulu Alpha has a record of 11-4-5 from 32 starts and earnings of more than $2 million. He is the horse to beat.

Channel Cat  won the 2019 Bowling Green Stakes (G2T) and has had two months off since finishing fifth in the Pegasus Turf. His only win in 2019 was the Bowling Green Stakes (G2T) in July.

Focus Group is the defending Pan Am Stakes winner. He was recently purchased at the Keeneland November Breeding Stock Sale. He will be making his seasonal bow.

Current has not performed to expectations since winning the 2018 Dixiana Bourbon Stakes (G3T) at Keeneland and then finishing a disappointing seventh in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G1T). He finished third in a March 6 allowance optional claiming test at Tampa Bay in his most recent effort, his first start since September. He should not be a factor at the wire.

Galleon Mast has only finished off the board in six of his 34 starts, however the Pan American will be his first start beyond 1 1/8 miles. He will not find a place on the board against this field.

J’s Top Three Picks:

  • Zulu Alpha
  • Channel Cat
  • Focus Group 

Race 13. Appleton( G3T) . For Four Year Old and Up at 2 miles on the turf. Purse $100,000.

Entries:

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 English Bee  Manuel Franco Graham Motion 8/1
2 Hembree  Joel Rosario Michael Maker 12/1
3 March to the Arch  Tyler Gaffalione Mark E. Casse 8/1
4 Ballagh Rocks  Edgard J. Zayas William I. Mott 6/1
5 Maraud  Dylan Davis Joseph Orseno 10/1
6 Smart Remark  Chris Landeros Victoria Oliver 20/1
7 Social Paranoia  Javier Castellano Todd A. Pletcher 10/1
8 Dr. Edgar  Paco Lopez Barclay Tagg 20/1
9 Louder Than Bombs  Joe Bravo David Fawkes 15/1
10 Sombeyay  Luis Saez Todd A. Pletcher 7/2
11 Mr Dumas  Leonel Reyes Michael Maker 12/1
12 El Tormenta  Julien  Leparoux Gail Cox 9/2
13 First Premio  Florent Geroux Mark E. Casse 10/1
14 Halladay  John Velazquez Todd A. Pletcher 10/1
15 Regally Irish  Rajiv Maragh Graham Motion 30/1
16 Flavius  Joel Rosario Chad C. Brown 8/1

Race has numerous contenders that could win the race. Tough race to handicap since the outcome will depend racing positions and clean 2 mile trip.

Social Paranoia has not raced since his half-length victory in the 1 5/16-mile Dueling Grounds Derby Sept. 8, and has placed in four graded-stakes including the Belmont Derby Invitational (G1T) in July.

Sombeyay began his career on the dirt, winning the Sanford Stakes (G3) and placing fourth in the Hopeful Stakes (G1) in the summer of 2018 at Saratoga Race Course. He finished fourth on turf in the 5 1/2-furlong Quick Call Stakes (G3T). he finished second in the one-mile National Museum of Racing Hall of Fame Stakes (G2T). He was second in a 7 1/2-furlong optional claiming race on firm turf at Gulfstream. He  won the one-mile Canadian Turf Stakes (G3T) Jan. 26.

English Bee finished second in the Canadian Turf (G3T).  

March to the Arch  won  Sunshine Millions Turf  in his debut this year. He was able to place third the Tampa Bay Stakes (G3T).

Dr. Edgar will try to go gate-to wire . He was able to capture the 2019 version of the race with his front-running style. 

J’s Top Three Picks:

  • Sombeyay
  • March to the Arch
  • Dr. Edgar

Race 14 Florida Derby. For Three Year Old at 1 1/8 miles on the dirt. Purse $750,000. The Florida Derby is a 170-point qualifying races (100-40-20-10) for the Kentucky Derby (G1) on Sept. 5 at Churchill Downs.

Entries:

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 As Seen On Tv  P Lopez K J Breen 12/1
2 Shivaree  E Jaramillo R E Nicks 30/1
 SCR Disc Jockey  Scratched Scratched SCR
 SCR Soros  Scratched Scratched SCR
5 Gouverneur Morris  J R Velazquez T A Pletcher 8/1
 SCR Ajaaweed  Scratched Scratched SCR
7 Tiz the Law  M Franco B Tagg 6/5
8 My First Grammy  H I Berrios A M Sanchez 50/1
9 Independence Hall  J Rosario M J Trombetta 9/2
10 Candy Tycoon  J Castellano T A Pletcher 20/1
 SCR Sassy But Smart  Scratched Scratched SCR
12 Ete Indien  F Geroux P L Biancone 4/1
13 Rogue Element  M A Vasquez D L Romans 50/1

Tiz the Law will rightfully be favored after taking the Holy Bull (G3) He won the Fasig-Tipton Fountain Of Youth (G2) in dominating wire-to-wire style. He is the talent in the field. The  four scratches will allow him to control his position on the rail. He won the first two starts of his career including the Champagne Stakes.

Independence Hall has acted up on more than one occasion. He may settle down with  of spectator-less surroundings. He recorded victories in victories in the one-turn Nashua Stakes and Jerome Stakes last year.

Gouverneur Morris ran on well for second in the Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity (G1) y off a debut sprint win last year. He won a first-level allowance condition in mid-February. 

Candy Tycoon looks to be coming into form after a maiden victory followed by a runner-up finish in the Fountain Of Youth.

Ete Indien won the Fountain of Youth in dominating fashion from a far outside post, just like he landed for the Florida Derby. He’s 2-for-3 since switching to dirt.

 J”s Top Three Picks:

  • Ete Indien
  • Tiz the Law
  • Gouverneur Morris and Independence Hall

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