Louisiana Derby remains a major 2020 Kentucky Derby prep race. This is the final prep race in 2020 at Fair Grounds for the Run for the Roses. The race is worth 100-40-20-10 points to the top four finishers for the Kentucky Derby.
Race 12. Louisiana Derby . For three-year-old at 1 3/16 miles on dirt. Purse $1,000,000.
|1||Major Fed||Joel Rosario||Gregory D. Foley||8/1|
|2||Mailman Money||Gabriel Saez||W. Bret Calhoun||15/1|
|3||Wells Bayou||Florent Geroux||Brad H. Cox||8/1|
|4||Chestertown||John R. Velazquez||Steven M. Asmussen||15/1|
|5||Social Afleet||Adam Beschizza||Dallas Stewart||50/1|
|6||Shake Some Action||Colby J. Hernandez||Brad H. Cox||15/1|
|7||Sharecropper||Miguel Mena||Albert M. Stall, Jr.||20/1|
|8||Royal Act||Abel Cedillo||Peter Eurton||10/1|
|9||Portos||Irad Ortiz, Jr.||Todd A. Pletcher||8/1|
|10||Enforceable||Julien R. Leparoux||Mark E. Casse||7/2|
|11||Ny Traffic||Luis Saez||Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.||15/1|
|12||Lynn’s Map||Tyler Gaffalione||Mark E. Casse||30/1|
|13||Silver State||Ricardo Santana, Jr.||Steven M. Asmussen||6/1|
|14||Modernist||Junior Alvarado||William I. Mott||6/1|
Enforceable rallied for second in the Risen Star (G2) over a speed-favoring track that day. He classes up nicely against this group and has recorded a win from the No. 10 post at Fair Grounds. He is the one to beat.
Major Fed should get a better trip drawn inside as opposed to his wide journey in the Risen Star. His speed figures have steadily increased, indicating he is on the improve. Further development here could land him on the board.
Silver State has never been worse than third in four career starts. He needs to overcome post 13 to prove best. He ran second in the Lecomte and Risen Star. He should be running late and finish in top four.
Royal Act ran a good race in the Robert B. Lewis (G3) in his third career start at Santa Anita Park and dirt debut. He should be able to work out a trip from the No. 8 post position and will be in the second flight of pressers. He will be chasing the pack down the lane and finish off the board.
Wells Bayou will try to gate -to-wire the field in the Louisiana Derby. He may be joined early in a pace duel, but he will set the fractions and show his class down the lane. He should finish in the top two.
Portos has plenty of stamina, and has a versatile running style. His best showing effort was his maiden victory at a mile and an eighth, and the Withers (G3) show finisher has the same seven weeks between starts this time. He needs to show improvement against the field to find a spot on the board.
Chestertown did not get pace help in either of his local routes, and had a troubled trip in an optional claimer at a 1 1/8 miles on Feb. 15. He has shown a liking for running a distance. His last start was at nine furlongs and resulted in a troubled runner-up finish to Shake Some Action in a local optional claimer. He needs fast fractions and tired horses to have chance of being awarded any Derby points.
Royal Act has posted impressive fractions. He is but has been improving lately and he could show that his works over the last week were for real. He needs to show his Southern California form to contend.
Modernist is marooned in Post 14, but he is coming off a victory in the Risen Star, the slower heat. He needs pace a clear running room down the backstretch to gather a good running position. He should be closing down the lane and finish on the board.
J’s Top Three Picks:
- Wells Bayou