The Pimlico’s track crew may have to spend Friday night and Saturday morning preparing Pimlico courses, dirt and turf, if the weather forecast for Baltimore, Maryland this weekend for rain is correct.
TRA™ has two simple rules for handicapping on sloppy or muddy tracks. Our first one is don’t, to many variables to calculate or the simple one, wager on gray horses to run third. In general, gray horses handle off tracks better than the other horses.
The below is our 143rd Preakness perspective for dry track.
Quip will set the pace from Post Position 1. Diamond King from Post Position 4 will try to pressure Quip for 5 furlongs. Justify leaving from Post Position 7 should be able to sit close to the two leaders down the backside. Good Magic from Post Position 5 and Tenfold from Post Position 6 will be close behind Justify till the turning for home. Mike Smith should have Justify moving past the two leaders down the backside or at the latest around the final turn. Justify, Good Magic and Tenfold will duel it out down the lane till the quarter pole. Justify will win the Preakness, Tenfold will run second and Good Magic will finish third. Quip should be able to coast home to finish fourth.
Lone Sailor, Sporting Chance and Bravazo will not influence the outcome of the 143rd Preakness Stakes.
The top three horses in TRA™ order of finish: Justify, Tenfold, and Good Magic.