Review of Rebel Stakes Race 10 at Oaklawn Park

Game Winner heads up the second division of the 1 1/16-mile Rebel Stakes, the other division was Race 8 on Saturday’s card. Both races will award $750,000 purses and Kentucky Derby 2019 qualifying points on a 37.5-15-7.5-3.75 scale to the Top 4 finishers.

Race 10: Rebel Stakes (GII). For three-year-old at 1 1/16 miles on dirt. Purse $750,000.

Entries:

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Market King John Velazquez D. Wayne Lukas 30/1
2 Laughing Fox Ricardo Santana, Jr. Steve Asmussen 10/1
3 Parsimony Mario Gutierrez Doug O’Neill 30/1
4 Jersey Agenda Jose Ortiz Steve Asmussen 15/1
5 Game Winner Joel Rosario Bob Baffert 4/5
6 Omaha Beach Mike Smith Richard Mandella 7/2
7 Our Braintrust David Cohen Mark E. Casse 6/1
8 Gunmetal Gray Flavien Prat Jerry Hollendorfer 10/1
9 Kaziranga Richard Eramia Steve Asmussen 50/1
10 Captain Von Trapp Ramon Vazquez Steve Asmussen 15/1


Market King broke his maiden at Oaklawn out on Feb. 9 over this course and at the Rebel distance. He debuted in June, but never showed ability until November when he ran second at Churchill Downs. He raced mid-pack throughout in his next race before earning his first win. He likes to stalk the leaders. However, he tried to set the pace in his most recent outing February 24 when third, beaten a length sprinting in allowance optional claiming company. He needs to continue racing at the allowance optional claiming or claiming level. He will not be a factor at the wire.

Laughing Fox broke his maiden at Oaklawn on January 25.  He settled behind the leaders and showed an excellent closing kick down the lane at 1 1/16 miles. On February 18 in optional claiming race, he had a rough outing nut was still able to win. He like to catch the leaders down the lane. He has a chance of finishing in top five.

Parsimony has faced graded competition on West Coast but has little to show for his effort. He is a maiden but has recorded four seconds from his seven starts. On February 2, he ran 6 ½ furlongs over Santa Anita’s dirt and failed to catch the pace. He was back on turf Feb. 16, dueled for the lead in a 1 1/8-mile race, and collected another second-place finish. He should not be a factor.

Jersey Agenda ran poorly in the Southwest Stakes (G3). He was impressive on the front in a 6 ½-furlong maiden special weight at Churchill Downs on November 24. He then won at a mile on January 26 an allowance optional claiming company at Oaklawn by 2 3/4-lengths. His one bad effort came in the Southwest when he finished eighth. He has the speed advantage and should be able to dictate the fractions.  He should finish in top five.

Game Winner is the one to beat. Game Winner has been away since winning the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He recently posted a bullet work going five-furlongs at Los Alamitos. He should be sitting behind the lead pack down the back stretch. He will start his move around the turn for home. He should finish in top two.

Omaha Beach has never missed board and showed talent in his three turf races. He switched to dirt fourth time out before breaking his maiden February 2 by nine lengths going seven furlongs over Santa Anita’s main track. Omaha Beach also turned in had a final work at Los Alamitos going six furlongs in 1:10.60.  He has an off-the-pace style of running and should be running in the second pack down the back stretch. He should finish in top three.


Our Braintrust also likes to sit off the pace. He won his first two starts, including Belmont Park’s Tremont Stakes back in June. Since then, he has finished in  Maryland Juvenile Futurity off the layoff, then ran second in the January 1 Jerome. He was third, beaten only a neck in a highly rated edition of the Withers (G3) when going two turns for the first time on February 2. He has been competitive against grade stakes competition. He should finish in top five.

Gunmetal Gray won the Sham (G3) on January 5 and then ran second Robert B. Lewis (G3). He grabbed a quarter in his last race. He has missed some training due to the injury but should be closing down the lane. He should be on the board.

Kaziranga has started six times and has a record of 1-1-0. He needs to be forwardly placed to a chance. In his two on-the-board finishes at Remington Park, he pressed the pace when breaking his maiden at a mile on October 31 and came off the pace for second in optional claiming company on November 23. He finished eighth in Remington’s Springboard Mile on December 16. He should not be a factor at the wire.  

Captain Von Trapp broke his maiden going six furlongs at February 8 at Oaklawn on February 8. He notched his second win going a mile facing winners on March 2. He should be sitting off the pace and trying to catch the leaders near the quarter pole. He has a chance of finishing in top six.

Our Top Three Picks:

  • Game Winner
  • Omaha Beach
  • Gunmetal Gray

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