Review of Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes, Grade I on Turf, at Keenland on October 6

Race 10. Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes, Grade I on Turf. For three-year-old and up at 1 mile on turf. Purse $1,000,000.

The Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes is a “Win and You’re In” race for the $2 million Breeders’ Cup Mile (Grade I) on November 3 at Churchill Downs.

Entries:

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Next Shares Tyler Gaffalione Richard Baltas 15/1
2 Divisidero Jevian Toledo Kelly Rubley 15/1
3 Great Wide Open James Graham Conor Murphy 50/1
4 Imperative Albin Jimenez Anthony Quartarolo 30/1
5 Heart to Heart Julien Leparoux Brian Lynch 7/2
6 Synchrony Corey Lanerie Michael Stidham 8/1
7 Qurbaan Mike Smith Kiaran McLaughlin 5/1
8 Multiplier Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. Peter Miller 30/1
9 Analyze It John Velazquez Chad Brown 9/2
10 Voodoo Song Jose Lezcano Linda Rice 6/1
11 Almanaar Javier Castellano Chad Brown 9/2
12 Mr.Misunderstood Florent Geroux Brad Cox 12/1
13 Big Score Ricardo Santana, Jr. Tim Yakteen 30/1
14 Bound for Nowhere Julio Garcia Wesley Ward 15/1
15 Zulu Alpha Luis Saez John Alexander Ortiz 15/1
16 Holiday Stone Feargal Lynch George Weaver 20/1

 

Next Shares exits an impressive win in the restricted Old Friends Stakes at Kentucky Downs thanks to a big closing move. He is winless at the mile distance and in graded stakes races. He ran second in the Shoemaker Mile (Grade I) in May at Santa Anita. 

Divisidero is winless at the mile distance. He ran fourth in the 2017 in the Shadwell Mile. He won the Arlington Handicap (Grade III). He ran in third in the  Fourstardave and fifth Woodbine Mile.

Great Wide Open last win was an allowance at the Fair Grounds back in March. He likes to be in front and setting solid fractions. Three of his five wins came when he was racing in Great Britain and Ireland.

Imperative has not won a race since the 2017 Charles Town Classic. He has never won a race on the turf and has been more than two years since he raced on the grass. 

Heart to Heart has recorded six wins from 19 starts at a mile. He won the Maker’s 46 Mile at Keeneland in April. Last time in the Fourstardave he broke awkwardly, couldn’t get the lead, and ended up finishing sixth. He was second last year in the Shadwell Mile. He likes to be forwardly placed. running.   

Synchrony won two Grade III races at Monmouth Park in 2018.H won the Red Bank (Grade III) at the mile distance. He should be on the board.

Qurbaan in his American debut won the Bernard Baruch (Grade II) at Saratoga. He raced with Lasix for the first-time in that victory. This field may allow him to be on the board.

Multiplier has won one allowance win on the grass in five tries. This field may be more than he can handle on the grass in 2018.


Analyze It he won the first three starts of his career, including the Transylvania (Grade III) at Keeneland to start 2018. He has also lost three stretch duels by narrow margins. He likes the mile distance, the distance of his first two victories.

Voodoo Song ran fifth at Hawthorne and second at Laurel. He enjoys setting the pace and won the Fourstardave (Grade I) in front. He could be him the catch in the last quarter-mile. His speed gives him a great chance to be on the board.

Almanaar ran in the Arlington Million. He has won in Europe two stakes wins, including a Grade III at the distance. He likes to sit off the pace and make a late closing move.

Mr. Misunderstood in 2017 he won seven out of eight starts that included five stakes races in a row. He also has five wins at the mile distance. In June, he won the Wise Dan (Grade II) at Churchill Downs. His likes to sit off-the-pace. He should be on the board.

Big Score last win was in the Transylvania (Grade III) in 2017. He has been on the board in Grade I and II races. He will have trouble in this race being on the board.

Bound for Nowhere won his last race the Tourist Mile Stakes at Kentucky Downs. He has two wins at Keeneland and a third in the Diamond Jubilee (Grade I) at Royal Ascot back in June. He has won three of his last four starts in 2018. He likes to be forwardly placed

Zulu Alpha one was claimed just a few weeks ago from his last start for $80,000. He has never won a stakes race. Should not be factor.

Holiday Stone has three career victories, but no stakes race wins. He won an allowance at Saratoga in September in what was his first start since December. Should not be factor.

 

Our Top Three Picks:

  • Heart to Heart
  • Analyze It
  • Qurbaan

 

 

 

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